Will roofing costs go down in 2026?

No, 2026 prices are expected to rise 3 to 8% over 2025 in Florida, not fall. Steel and aluminum tariffs continue to push metal roofing material costs up. Asphalt shingle manufacturers have already announced 2026 price increases tied to oil-derived inputs. Labor remains tight on the Treasure Coast because Citizens Property Insurance non-renewals keep pulling forward replacement demand. The only price-down windows are the post-hurricane-season slowdown (December to February) and grant-cycle timing when My Safe Florida Home covers up to $10,000. Most Florida roofers honor signed-contract pricing through install, so booking a Q1 2026 quote can hedge against mid-year increases.